
James Sanson
Founder, Listing Specialist
AZ License SA535310000
22+ years in Maricopa real estate. 1,300+ closings. Specializes in seller representation and complex transactions.

James Sanson
Founder, Listing Specialist
AZ License SA535310000
22+ years in Maricopa real estate. 1,300+ closings. Specializes in seller representation and complex transactions.
James Sanson | Real Broker | Licensed in Arizona
Updated September 2026
By James Sanson, REALTOR®. Licensed Arizona real estate agent since August 2002. Maricopa specialist since 2004. 1,300+ closings across new construction, resale, and distressed-property transactions. See about James Sanson and the team.
Published June 25, 2026.
Quick answer
Homes listed in April through June have sold closest to their original asking price, gone under contract fastest, and been least likely to expire or cancel, based on three complete years of closed sales in Maricopa, AZ, per ARMLS as compiled by the James Sanson Team. Homes listed September through November have been the weakest on every measure. June listings closed at a median of 98 percent of original asking price in about 30 days; October listings closed at about 95 percent in about 58 days, and roughly 4 in 10 never sold. If you need to sell, the right time is now, priced to the current market. If you can choose, spring has had the strongest odds three years running. Call 520-838-8037 to talk through timing for your situation.
Every figure in the video comes from the same ARMLS closed-sale data as the tables below. James Sanson | Real Broker | Licensed in Arizona
On this page
The question "when is the best time to sell" usually means one of two things: which season gets the strongest result, or whether right now is the right moment for you. Both matter, and they are not the same question. This page covers the seasonal patterns the Maricopa area has historically shown, then walks through the factors that decide the right time for your specific situation, which often matter more than the month.
This page is informational. Tax timing, contract terms, and financing decisions depend on your specific situation. For tax questions, consult a CPA or qualified tax professional. For contract questions, consult an Arizona-licensed attorney.
Timing matters twice when a purchase is riding on the sale, so read up on coordinating your sale and your next purchase before you pick a list date.
For how these conversations go in practice, read client reviews covering timing decisions.
Maricopa sits in Pinal County, south of Phoenix, and its market tracks broad regional patterns. Across the greater Phoenix and Pinal County area, buyer demand has historically built through late winter and into spring. Many households want to be settled before the next school year starts and before the hottest part of the summer. That pattern tends to push more buyers into the market from roughly February through May.
The closed-sale data tells a more specific story than the regional folklore. July has held up nearly as well as spring, December has quietly outperformed October and November for three years running, and the genuinely weak window has been September through November, when listings took the longest to find a buyer and were the most likely to expire. The month-by-month figures are in the next section. These are general regional tendencies, not fixed rules. Any single year can break the pattern based on mortgage rates, the number of homes for sale, and what is happening in specific Maricopa neighborhoods.
For the current state of the market rather than the historical pattern, see the latest Maricopa market report, which tracks where demand and inventory stand now.
Every single-family resale listing in 85138 and 85139 that went live from September 2022 through July 2026, grouped by the month it was listed, because the list date is the decision a seller controls. New construction and the Province age-restricted community are excluded because each sells on its own calendar. That leaves about 5,800 listings that finished, either closed or gave up. Three measures for each month: sale price against original asking price, days to an accepted contract, and the share that expired or cancelled instead of closing.
| Listed in | Sale price to original ask | Days to contract | Under contract in 30 days | Never sold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April | 97.7% | 35 | 44% | 32% |
| May | 97.6% | 32 | 49% | 31% |
| June | 98.0% | 30 | 51% | 33% |
| January to March | 97.0 to 97.4% | 40 to 43 | 37 to 43% | 29 to 33% |
| July | 97.6% | 34 | 47% | 35% |
| August | 97.1% | 40 | 42% | 40% |
| September | 95.8% | 47 | 37% | 41% |
| October | 95.4% | 58 | 33% | 38% |
| November | 96.1% | 62 | 29% | 38% |
| December | 97.1% | 53 | 32% | 29% |
Medians by list month. ARMLS, single-family resale listings in 85138 and 85139, listed September 2022 through July 2026, new construction and Province excluded, pulled September 11, 2026. Not warranted.
April through June led on every measure, and did so in each of the three complete springs in the data: 2023, 2024, and 2025. September through November trailed on every measure. On a home originally listed at $350,000, the gap between the June median and the October median is about two and a half points, roughly $9,000, plus about four extra weeks waiting for a contract, plus a meaningfully higher chance the listing dies. December is the surprise: fewer buyers, but serious ones, and the lowest failure rate of any month.
One caveat the data insists on. Season matters; market direction matters more. In 2022, Maricopa prices peaked in spring and turned in summer. Spring listers who held spring prices got hurt, and fall listers at fall prices did fine. The season saved nobody that year. The price did. The seasonal edge is worth two or three points of asking price and a few weeks of time; pricing wrong costs far more than that in any month.
Price ratios and days on market describe how a listing performs. Units describe how many buyers are actually there. Over the three complete years, Maricopa averaged about 1,000 single-family resale closings a year, and they are not spread evenly.
| Month | Homes closed | Contracts written | New listings | New listings per closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 58 | 73 | 140 | 2.4 |
| February | 65 | 101 | 127 | 1.9 |
| March | 107 | 116 | 143 | 1.3 |
| April | 104 | 101 | 142 | 1.4 |
| May | 112 | 106 | 130 | 1.2 |
| June | 107 | 85 | 120 | 1.1 |
| July | 86 | 87 | 119 | 1.4 |
| August | 84 | 80 | 131 | 1.6 |
| September | 80 | 77 | 113 | 1.4 |
| October | 82 | 63 | 117 | 1.4 |
| November | 54 | 57 | 102 | 1.9 |
| December | 63 | 50 | 75 | 1.2 |
Three-year monthly averages, 2023 through 2025. ARMLS, single-family resale listings in 85138 and 85139, listed September 2022 through July 2026, new construction and Province excluded, pulled September 11, 2026. Not warranted.
Buyers act in February through May, with March the single busiest month for contracts, and closings peak March through June, which together deliver about 43 percent of the year. November closes about half of what May does. The column most sellers never see is the last one: January has the most new listings relative to sales of any month, about 2.4 new competitors for every home that closes, because sellers list on New Year’s resolve before the buyers arrive. June and December sit at the other end, about 1.1, the least competition per buyer in the year. That is the mechanism behind December’s quiet strength.
One number that cuts against the headlines: resale closings from January through August 2026 came in at 676, against 660 for the same stretch of 2025. Slightly ahead. When you hear that Maricopa volume is down, that figure includes new construction. Resale buyers are still buying; they are buying at about $175 per square foot this year against about $189 for the same period last year, which is the cost of money doing its work.
Every timing conversation eventually gets to the real question, which is not when but whether. If you need to sell, because of a job, a family change, or a payment that no longer works, the best time is now, and the whole job is pricing to the market that exists today rather than to a neighbor’s spring closing or to what the home was worth two years ago. Buyers do not pay what a seller believes a home is worth; they pay what they can afford at today’s cost of money, and the market clears at the second number. If you want to sell but do not need to, you have a choice the other group does not: get the home ready over the winter and go live when the odds are best.
Two things that come up in almost every one of these conversations. Rare homes, a basement home in Cobblestone Farms or a golf course lot in Rancho El Dorado, sell fast when priced right because there is nothing else like them; rarity does not mean naming your price, because that buyer has a budget too. And if you are selling and buying, waiting for your number has a hidden cost: the home you are moving to is waiting for its number as well, and the gap between them does not close by waiting.
Whether now is a good time is less about the season and more about four things specific to you:
A home that is priced right and shows well can sell in any month. The seller who waits for a perfect season but lists an overpriced or unprepared home usually does worse than the seller who prices and prepares correctly in an ordinary month.
As of September 2026: about 477 single-family resale homes are for sale in Maricopa, roughly 5.5 months of supply against the summer closing pace, and 57 percent of those listings have already cut price at least once. The unsold inventory has a median of 60 days on market, a figure that describes what is sitting, not how long a correctly priced home takes. Resale homes are closing at about $175 per square foot this year against about $189 last year. If you need to sell, now is the right time: Maricopa homes close every month, and September listings in this data mostly closed between October and December. You are competing with several hundred other homes, more than half of which have already blinked on price, so price to the market that exists in September. If you have flexibility, the data says wait for spring and use the winter to prepare.
Two timelines make up the answer to "how long does it take to sell."
Time on market. This is how long from listing to an accepted offer. It depends heavily on price, condition, and how your list price compares to recent sales. A well-priced, well-prepared home typically goes under contract faster than an overpriced one, in any season. Median days on market in Maricopa changes month to month, so rather than rely on a stale number, ask for the current figure when you are ready to plan. For the stage-by-stage picture, see how long Maricopa homes take to sell in the latest data.
Time to close. Once an offer is accepted, a standard financed Maricopa sale usually takes about 30 to 45 days to close, depending on the buyer's loan type, the appraisal, and the contract terms. A cash sale can close faster. If you need a specific closing date to line up with another move, that target shapes when you should list.
September through November has been the slowest window in Maricopa for three years running: contracts took about seven to nine weeks instead of four to five, and roughly 4 in 10 listings never sold. That sounds like a reason to wait, but it cuts both ways.
The slower season is a reason to price and prepare with care, not a reason to wait by default. If your situation points to selling now, a sound listing strategy matters more than the month.
If you are buying another home, the order of operations affects your timing as much as the season does.
The right sequence depends on your equity, your financing options, and current conditions on both the buying and selling sides. This is a financial decision worth mapping before you list, not after. To compare the listing side of that decision, see the full step-by-step on selling a Maricopa home.
If you are still deciding whether to sell at all or hold the home as a rental, that is a separate question: see the sell versus rent decision.
Two market forces move the timing question beyond the calendar.
Mortgage rates. Rates set how much buyers can afford. When rates rise, some buyers pause or shift to a lower price range, which can slow demand. When rates ease, activity often picks up. Rates move for national reasons and are difficult to time. Waiting for a specific rate is a gamble. It is usually more productive to focus on what you control: pricing, condition, and presentation.
Inventory. The number of homes for sale in your price range and neighborhood shapes how your listing is received. Low inventory means less competition and often firmer pricing. Rising inventory means presentation and accurate pricing carry more weight. Inventory is local and can differ between 85138 and 85139 and even between neighborhoods, which is why a neighborhood-level read beats a city-wide average.
For many Maricopa sellers, the personal timeline outweighs the seasonal one. A few situations where the right time is driven by your circumstances rather than the calendar:
Important. This page is informational, not tax, legal, or financial advice. Seasonal patterns reflect general historical tendencies in the greater Phoenix and Pinal County area as of publication and are not a prediction for any specific year. Tax timing, including the federal home sale exclusion, depreciation recapture, and inherited-property basis, depends on your specific situation. The James Sanson Team is not a tax advisor or attorney. For your situation, consult a CPA or an Arizona-licensed attorney.
The best time to sell your Maricopa home is the point where your equity, your next move, and current conditions line up, which is rarely about the calendar alone. The way to find that point is to start with a current value, a clear net estimate, and a read on your neighborhood.
If you are weighing whether to sell now or wait, call 520-838-8037 to talk it through with a Maricopa listing specialist. You will get a straight read on timing for your situation, with no pressure to list before it makes sense for you.
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520-838-8037James Sanson | Real Broker | Licensed in Arizona
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